๐ก
Liberation Day II ยท Apr 2, 2026
Sweeping reciprocal tariffs announced โ gold down from ATH but still +48.6% since Liberation Day I (Apr 2025)
Gold surged from $3,097 โ $5,318 ATH โ now $4,651 ยท RSI 36.9 (approaching oversold) ยท Nearest support: Fib 23.6% at $4,760
1-Year Return
+48.6%
From ATH
โ12.5%
ATH
$5,318
Market Signal โนโ Hourly
Awaiting dataโฆ
Score: loading
Score = RSI momentum + Real yields + USD strength + ETF flows + COT positioning + Market catalysts + Ratio extremes
Range: โ10 (Max Bearish) to +10 (Max Bullish)
Range: โ10 (Max Bearish) to +10 (Max Bullish)
Price Command Center โนโ Hourly
Gold in World Currencies โน
Distance to All-Time High โน
--
$0
ATH: --
Technical Indicators โน
50-Day MA โน
--
--
200-Day MA โน
--
--
RSI (14) โน
--
--
RSI (14) โ 1 Year History โน
Road to Key Levels โนโ Live
LBMA Gold Fix iEst.
AM Fix โน
--
PM Fix โน
--
COMEX-LBMA Basis โน
--
Source
--
Key Ratios iโ Hourly
Central Bank Tracker โนโ Quarterly
Current Pace vs 10Y Average i
--
above historical average
Net Global Buying Pace โน
--
tonnes / month
--
YTD Total Buying โน
--
tonnes
Central Bank Net Purchases (tonnes/year) โน
Annual Gold Purchases by Central Bank (tonnes) โน
Excludes static holders (US, Germany, Italy). Positive = net buying. Darker = more tonnes.
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| Country | Reserves (t) | Monthly Δ | YTD Δ | % of Reserves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Top 15 by Reserves
Global Gold Flows โนEst. annual
Physical gold shipments and trade flows between major countries (2025/2026 est., tonnes/year)
| Route | Direction | Tonnes/Year | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland → UK | Export | 400 | Refining → Market |
| US → Switzerland | Export | 200 | Refining |
| Switzerland → India | Export | 180 | Jewelry demand |
| Switzerland → UAE | Export | 150 | Trading hub |
| Australia → China | Mining export | 120 | Producer |
| Russia → UAE | Export | 100 | Sanctions bypass |
| UAE → India | Re-export | 90 | Jewelry demand |
| S. Africa → Switzerland | Mining export | 80 | Producer |
China Domestic Mining
370t/year
Consumed internally, not exported
India Total Imports
~800t/year
World's largest jewelry consumer
ETF Flows & Holdings โนโ Daily
Total ETF Holdings (Est.) โน
--
tonnes
GLD YTD โน
--
Daily Flow Est. โน
--
t/day
1Y Price (GLD + IAU + PHYS)
Analyst Price Targets โนโ Quarterly
Consensus Range
-- โ --
Consensus Mid
--
Upside vs Spot
--
Most Bullish
--
Trade War & Tariff Impact โนโ Hourly
Gold Tariff Status
EXEMPT
HTS 7108 โ monetary gold classified as financial instrument
Trade War Signal (DXY 30d)
--
Dollar Index 30-day change loading...
Current Tariff Regime
--
--
Gold vs DXY โ 1 Year with Tariff Events โน
Indirect Impact on Gold
Gold Price at Each Tariff Escalation โน
Gold spot price (GC=F) at each tariff event date โข % label = change since prior event
Tariff & Trade News
COT Positioning (Managed Money) โนโ Weekly (CFTC)
Futures Curve i
--
Front Month โน
--
Dec 2026
--
Basis (Spread) โน
--
--
Net Position โน
--
Longs โน
--
Shorts โน
--
Open Interest โน
--
Net Percentile โน
--
--
COMEX Gold Basis History (Front vs Dec 2026) โน
Peak (1Y)
--
6M Ago
--
3M Ago
--
Today
--
1Y Change
--
Positive = Contango (carry cost) ยท Negative = Backwardation (physical demand premium) ยท Green line = backwardation ยท Compressing basis = physical demand building
COMEX Vault Inventory iEst. monthly
Registered i
--tonnes
Eligible i
--tonnes
Registered % of Total โน
--
Cover Ratio โน
--
oz registered / open interest
Registered vs Eligible (tonnes)
Last updated: -- | Source: CME Group via silveroftruth.com (4h refresh)
Gold Lease Rate (GLR) iEst.
Last updated: 2026-04-02 | Rates approximate (subscription sources required for live data)
News Feed โนโ Hourly
Headline Sentiment i
--
BEARISH
--
BULLISH
Macro Context โนโ Daily
Gold vs Real Yields (inverted) โน
Gold vs DXY (inverted) โน
Gold vs VIX Fear Index โ 1 Year โน
VIX: --
--
VIX = CBOE Volatility Index (S&P 500 30-day implied vol) โข Gold line = left axis โข VIX line = right axis
Gold vs S&P 500 โ 20-Day Rolling Correlation โน
Corr: --
--
Pearson correlation of daily returns (20-day window) ยท +1.0 = perfect co-movement ยท -1.0 = perfect inverse ยท Near 0 = decorrelated (gold acting as independent safe-haven)
๐๏ธ
Next FOMC Meeting
--
ยท
--
days away
Gold typically moves 0.5โ2% in the 48h surrounding FOMC decisions. Rate cuts are bullish; hawkish surprises are bearish.
Macro Regime for Gold โน
Gold Regime Score
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--
Mining Snapshot โนโ Daily
All-In Sustaining Cost vs Gold Price โน
GDX / Gold Ratio (Miner Leverage) โน
GDXJ / GDX Ratio (Junior vs Senior Leverage) โน
GDXJ YTD
--
GDX YTD
--
Junior Edge
--
Global Gold Production by Country (tonnes) โน
Miner Annual Production & AISC โน
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| Miner | Price | Change % | YTD % | 4-Week % | Mkt Cap | AISC | Margin | Production (koz) | 6M Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crisis Asset Performance (YTD) iโ Hourly
Wall Street Price Targets โ 2026 โนQuarterly
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Historical Context โนMonthly
Avg. Annual Return by Decade โน
Key Events
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Gold Price: Nominal vs. Inflation-Adjusted (2026 USD) โน
Real price uses BLS CPI-U annual averages โข 2026 USD baseline
Gold Seasonality โ Avg. Monthly Return โน
$10,000 Invested in 2000 โ Gold vs S&P 500 vs Cash โน
๐ก Gold
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๐ S&P 500
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๐ต Cash (CPI)
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Gold: GC=F monthly close from yfinance โข S&P 500: annual total return with dividends reinvested (hardcoded 2000โ2025) โข Cash: BLS CPI-U cumulative inflation
Drawdown Recovery Map โ Historical Pullbacks vs Current โน
All drawdowns >10% from peak. Days to trough = calendar days from peak to bottom. Days to recovery = calendar days from peak to full recovery.
$10,000 Invested in 2000 โ Gold vs US Real Estate (Case-Shiller) โน
๐ก Gold
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๐ US Housing (Case-Shiller)
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Case-Shiller National HPI annual data (2000โ2025, hardcoded) โข Gold: GC=F monthly close from yfinance โข Both rebased to $10,000 at Jan 2000
Gold Standard History โ Key Milestones โน
Scroll horizontally โข Gold prices are approximate nominal spot values at event date
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